Trump has 28 percent of the GOP pack, with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 24 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida has 12 percent and Dr. Ben Carson has 10 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 6 percent with 8 percent undecided. But 58 percent of those who name a candidate might change their mind.
Among Democrats, Clinton tops Sanders 61 – 30 percent. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided and 41 percent who might change their mind.
Among Republicans, 28 percent of voters say they “would definitely not support” Trump, with 24 percent who would not back Bush.
Only 23 percent of all voters would be proud to have Trump as president.
If Clinton is elected, 33 percent of all voters would be proud and 35 percent would be embarrassed.
“Half of American voters say they’d be embarrassed to have Donald Trump as their Commander in Chief and most Americans think he doesn’t have a good chance in November, but there he is still at the top of the Republican heap,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Hillary Clinton tops him. Sen. Bernie Sanders hammers him and Sen. Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels. Can a candidate that half the American electorate thinks is an embarrassment win in November?”
American voters back Clinton over Trump 47 – 40 percent. In other matchups:
- Clinton gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 43 percent;
- Clinton and Cruz are tied 44 – 44 percent.
Sanders tops Trump 51 – 38 percent. In other matchups:
- Rubio gets 45 percent to Sanders’ 42 percent;
- Cruz gets 44 percent to Sanders’ 43 percent.
Clinton has a negative 43 – 51 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:
- Negative 33 – 59 percent for Trump;
- 40 – 31 percent for Sanders;
- 37 – 28 percent for Rubio;
- 35 – 33 percent for Cruz.
Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, American voters say 63 – 35 percent, while Trump does not have the experience, voters say 67 – 29 percent. But Clinton and Trump are close on several key qualities. American voters say:
- 59 – 35 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy;
- 58 – 40 percent that she has strong leadership qualities;
- 50 – 46 percent that she does not care about their needs and problems;
- 55 – 42 percent that she does not share their values.
Looking at Trump, voters say:
- 58 – 36 percent that he is not honest and trustworthy;
- 58 – 39 percent that he has strong leadership qualities;
- 57 – 38 percent that he does not care about their needs and problems;
- 61 – 34 percent that he does not share their values.
Clinton is ahead on another key measurement:
Voters say 59 – 32 percent, including 86 – 10 percent among Democrats, that she has a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee next November.
Voters say 53 – 41 percent that Trump does not have a good chance of winning in November.
Republicans say 70 – 24 percent that Trump has a good chance of winning.
From December 16 – 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,140 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points and 462 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Bush 4% - 1% 1% 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 4%
Carson 10 16 12 10 15 5 7 15 7 12
Christie 6 2 3 6 3 8 6 5 8 5
Cruz 24 38 33 38 20 15 29 19 21 26
Fiorina 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 2 4 1
Gilmore - - - - - - - - - -
Graham - - - - - - - - - -
Huckabee 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 1 - 1
Kasich 1 - 2 - 1 2 1 1 3 -
Pataki - - - - - - - - - -
Paul 2 1 1 - 2 3 3 - 2 2
Rubio 12 9 13 10 11 15 12 13 19 9
Santorum 1 - 1 1 1 - 2 - - 1
Trump 28 27 22 27 28 28 30 27 24 30
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - - 1 - - - -
DK/NA 8 2 8 3 10 13 5 12 7 9
MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q41......
Shares Strong Honest/
Values Leader Trustworthy
Bush 6% 2% 5%
Carson 10 5 13
Christie 7 5 3
Cruz 28 24 28
Fiorina 2 1 1
Gilmore - - -
Graham - - -
Huckabee 1 - 1
Kasich 2 1 -
Pataki - - -
Paul 1 1 4
Rubio 9 13 17
Santorum - 1 -
Trump 32 37 18
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 -
DK/NA 2 7 10
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q43
Economy/
Jobs Terrorism
Bush 9% 1%
Carson 8 11
Christie 8 5
Cruz 22 24
Fiorina 2 1
Gilmore - -
Graham - -
Huckabee - -
Kasich 3 -
Pataki - -
Paul 2 -
Rubio 22 14
Santorum 1 -
Trump 19 34
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1
DK/NA 4 8
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1
Tot Cruz Trump
Made up 41% 36% 63%
Might change 58 64 36
DK/NA 1 - 1
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Bush 24% 34% 25% 32% 26% 12% 27% 20% 22% 25%
Carson 12 6 10 12 12 11 10 14 11 12
Christie 10 16 10 10 13 7 12 9 10 11
Cruz 5 - 3 2 5 10 5 5 10 3
Fiorina 10 9 7 8 10 11 12 7 10 10
Gilmore 10 13 8 12 12 7 12 9 15 8
Graham 15 25 9 23 15 7 17 12 15 15
Huckabee 9 12 7 10 9 10 11 7 10 9
Kasich 13 19 15 21 14 4 16 10 15 13
Pataki 13 21 14 16 15 8 17 9 20 10
Paul 14 13 17 17 14 10 16 12 17 12
Rubio 7 9 9 9 5 8 10 5 8 7
Santorum 8 11 6 9 10 4 10 6 10 7
Trump 28 21 30 23 25 37 21 35 32 26
No/No one 23 19 20 23 20 27 26 20 24 23
DK/NA 7 3 3 4 10 7 5 9 4 8
3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 61% 52% 60% 66% 56% 64% 61% 62%
O'Malley 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1
Sanders 30 42 31 24 37 25 30 29
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 1 - 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 -
DK/NA 6 5 6 7 5 8 5 7
MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q40...................
Shares Strong Right
Values Leader Cares Experience
Clinton 51% 69% 57% 82%
O'Malley - 2 1 2
Sanders 46 21 34 12
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 2 - -
DK/NA 3 6 7 4
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q42
Economy/
Jobs
Clinton 58%
O'Malley 3
Sanders 33
SMONE ELSE(VOL) -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1
DK/NA 4
3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3.................
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3
Tot Clinton Sanders
Made up 57% 59% 55%
Might change 41 38 44
DK/NA 2 2 -
4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Clinton, O’Malley, or Sanders? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 8% 10% 8% 7% 9% 7% 4% 10%
O'Malley 19 22 21 17 17 20 20 18
Sanders 9 6 9 10 10 8 7 10
No/No one 58 59 58 57 63 55 62 56
DK/NA 11 9 10 13 8 13 10 12
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 47% 8% 92% 39% 39% 54% 57% 42%
Trump 40 82 4 37 47 33 33 43
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 2 2 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 6 1 12 7 6 6 7
DK/NA 5 1 3 8 5 5 2 6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Clinton 60% 43% 42% 50%
Trump 21 46 45 39
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 12 4 6 4
DK/NA 4 3 6 6
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 44% 8% 89% 33% 35% 51% 52% 40%
Rubio 43 87 6 43 49 37 41 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 4 3 2 2 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 7 6 3 3 5
DK/NA 6 2 3 13 6 7 3 8
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Clinton 56% 42% 40% 42%
Rubio 28 49 48 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 5 2
DK/NA 6 2 7 10
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 44% 4% 91% 36% 36% 52% 54% 40%
Cruz 44 89 4 45 53 36 39 46
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 3 3 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 6 5 4 3 5
DK/NA 6 2 4 9 3 7 3 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Clinton 55% 40% 42% 46%
Cruz 33 49 47 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 5 3
DK/NA 4 4 6 7
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Sanders 51% 13% 90% 49% 44% 57% 60% 47%
Trump 38 78 4 35 46 31 32 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 2 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 6 4 8 6 7 4 7
DK/NA 4 2 1 6 3 4 3 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Sanders 74% 50% 42% 47%
Trump 18 42 48 38
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 5 5 9
DK/NA 1 2 4 5
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Sanders 42% 6% 80% 36% 39% 45% 48% 39%
Rubio 45 87 9 48 50 41 44 46
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 3 6 4 6 6 3 7
DK/NA 6 3 4 10 5 7 5 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Sanders 60% 38% 39% 37%
Rubio 31 49 48 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 3 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 5 6 6
DK/NA 3 4 7 8
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Sanders 43% 6% 84% 37% 39% 47% 53% 38%
Cruz 44 85 6 46 50 38 39 46
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 4 4 6 3 6
DK/NA 7 4 5 11 6 8 4 8
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Sanders 59% 41% 38% 40%
Cruz 30 46 51 43
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 5 4 7
DK/NA 5 5 7 8
Q12-22. Summary Table – Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable – Unfavorable).
REGISTERED VOTERS.................
Hvn't
Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav
Sanders 40 31 28 1 9
Rubio 37 28 33 2 9
Cruz 35 33 31 2 2
Kasich 21 20 57 2 1
Carson 36 38 24 2 -2
Fiorina 25 33 40 1 -8
Clinton 43 51 4 2 -8
Christie 28 40 30 2 -12
Paul 24 42 32 3 -18
Trump 33 59 5 3 -26
Bush 28 56 14 2 -28
REPUBLICANS.......................
Hvn't
Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav
Cruz 68 7 24 1 61
Rubio 66 10 24 - 56
Carson 66 17 16 2 49
Fiorina 53 18 29 - 35
Trump 63 30 6 2 33
Christie 52 27 19 2 25
Paul 32 32 34 2 0
Kasich 24 25 49 2 -1
Bush 37 52 10 1 -15
DEMOCRATS.........................
Hvn't
Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav
Clinton 82 13 3 2 69
Sanders 69 8 21 2 61
12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 43% 10% 82% 32% 32% 52% 49% 40%
Unfavorable 51 87 13 59 61 43 47 54
Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 3 7 5 3 2 5
REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 3 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 45% 40% 42% 44%
Unfavorable 44 56 56 48
Hvn't hrd enough 8 3 2 5
REFUSED 4 1 1 3
13. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 33% 63% 8% 32% 42% 25% 26% 37%
Unfavorable 59 30 88 59 49 68 70 54
Hvn't hrd enough 5 6 2 5 6 4 2 6
REFUSED 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 15% 36% 41% 33%
Unfavorable 79 58 53 57
Hvn't hrd enough 4 5 4 7
REFUSED 2 1 2 3
14. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 37% 66% 15% 38% 44% 31% 43% 35%
Unfavorable 28 10 48 24 28 27 35 25
Hvn't hrd enough 33 24 35 35 27 38 20 39
REFUSED 2 - 2 3 1 3 3 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 31% 34% 41% 41%
Unfavorable 27 29 29 27
Hvn't hrd enough 38 36 29 30
REFUSED 4 - 2 1
15. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 35% 68% 7% 34% 42% 28% 33% 36%
Unfavorable 33 7 60 28 33 33 50 25
Hvn't hrd enough 31 24 33 36 23 38 17 37
REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 23% 37% 41% 36%
Unfavorable 38 33 28 35
Hvn't hrd enough 39 29 29 28
REFUSED - 1 2 1
16. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 40% 10% 69% 39% 37% 42% 53% 34%
Unfavorable 31 60 8 29 41 23 31 31
Hvn't hrd enough 28 29 21 31 21 34 15 34
REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 58% 38% 33% 36%
Unfavorable 14 33 40 32
Hvn't hrd enough 28 28 25 29
REFUSED - 1 2 2
17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 36% 66% 10% 39% 39% 33% 33% 37%
Unfavorable 38 17 62 35 41 35 55 32
Hvn't hrd enough 24 16 27 25 20 29 11 29
REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 3 1 2
18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 28% 37% 17% 31% 29% 27% 30% 27%
Unfavorable 56 52 66 53 54 57 55 56
Hvn't hrd enough 14 10 13 16 15 14 12 16
REFUSED 2 1 3 - 2 2 4 1
19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 28% 52% 12% 28% 30% 27% 35% 25%
Unfavorable 40 27 55 38 41 39 45 37
Hvn't hrd enough 30 19 32 32 27 32 17 37
REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 1
20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about her?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 25% 53% 8% 21% 30% 21% 33% 21%
Unfavorable 33 18 51 30 35 32 43 28
Hvn't hrd enough 40 29 39 49 35 45 23 50
REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1
21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 21% 24% 18% 27% 28% 15% 40% 13%
Unfavorable 20 25 21 12 22 18 14 22
Hvn't hrd enough 57 49 60 61 48 65 43 63
REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2
22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough about him?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 24% 32% 12% 28% 34% 15% 30% 21%
Unfavorable 42 32 59 37 41 42 50 38
Hvn't hrd enough 32 34 26 33 23 39 19 38
REFUSED 3 2 4 2 1 4 1 3
28. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 35% 5% 76% 23% 26% 44% 37% 34%
No 59 92 18 72 71 49 58 60
DK/NA 5 3 6 5 3 7 4 6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 30% 35% 32% 44%
No 59 63 65 49
DK/NA 11 2 3 7
29. Would you say that – Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 36% 63% 11% 34% 42% 31% 30% 39%
No 58 29 86 60 53 62 67 54
DK/NA 6 8 3 6 4 7 3 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 20% 39% 42% 38%
No 79 57 53 50
DK/NA 1 3 5 11
30. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 58% 26% 91% 56% 47% 68% 66% 54%
No 40 73 7 42 52 30 33 44
DK/NA 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 67% 58% 52% 58%
No 31 40 47 38
DK/NA 2 2 1 3
31. Would you say that – Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 58% 84% 30% 60% 68% 49% 54% 60%
No 39 13 66 37 30 47 45 36
DK/NA 3 3 3 3 2 4 1 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 53% 64% 59% 52%
No 47 34 38 41
DK/NA - 3 3 6
32. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 46% 16% 84% 36% 37% 54% 50% 44%
No 50 83 12 59 61 42 46 52
DK/NA 4 1 3 5 3 4 3 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 56% 43% 40% 48%
No 36 53 58 49
DK/NA 8 3 1 4
33. Would you say that – Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 38% 69% 12% 36% 44% 33% 30% 42%
No 57 25 86 59 52 62 67 52
DK/NA 5 6 2 5 5 5 3 6
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 24% 45% 42% 37%
No 75 51 55 54
DK/NA - 4 3 10
34. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 63% 34% 94% 62% 57% 68% 70% 60%
No 35 65 5 36 42 29 29 38
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 2
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 81% 63% 56% 59%
No 17 37 44 37
DK/NA 2 1 - 4
35. Would you say that – Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 29% 56% 5% 27% 34% 24% 26% 30%
No 67 36 95 68 62 72 72 65
DK/NA 4 8 1 4 4 5 2 5
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 13% 36% 33% 26%
No 83 62 63 67
DK/NA 4 3 4 7
36. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton shares your values or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 42% 8% 83% 31% 33% 49% 49% 38%
No 55 90 14 64 64 46 49 57
DK/NA 4 2 3 5 3 4 2 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 42% 40% 38% 47%
No 53 57 59 48
DK/NA 5 3 2 5
37. Would you say that – Donald Trump shares your values or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 34% 65% 9% 30% 39% 29% 27% 37%
No 61 30 89 63 56 65 71 56
DK/NA 6 5 3 8 5 6 3 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 13% 40% 39% 35%
No 84 56 57 54
DK/NA 3 4 4 10
38. Would you say that – Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 59% 36% 86% 57% 58% 61% 68% 55%
No 32 54 10 34 36 29 26 36
DK/NA 8 10 5 9 6 10 6 9
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 70% 55% 57% 58%
No 24 39 37 29
DK/NA 7 6 6 12
39. Would you say that – Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes 41% 70% 14% 40% 49% 34% 32% 45%
No 53 24 80 55 47 58 62 48
DK/NA 6 6 6 5 4 9 6 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Yes 25% 48% 42% 42%
No 71 43 54 49
DK/NA 4 8 4 9
40. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Shares values 19% 28% 11% 19% 19% 18% 20% 18%
Cares needs/problems 28 35 34 22 25 30 24 30
Strong leadership 16 7 15 20 16 15 15 16
Honest/trustworthy 14 9 8 18 17 12 10 16
Right experience 16 13 18 16 14 17 22 12
Best chance/winning 6 5 12 3 7 5 8 5
DK/NA 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 3
41. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Shares values 20% 17% 21% 28% 20% 13% 19% 22% 24% 19%
Cares needs/problems 13 7 7 11 10 17 10 15 9 14
Strong leadership 29 35 33 27 32 26 30 28 25 31
Honest/trustworthy 21 21 22 23 19 24 23 19 23 20
Right experience 8 3 7 2 11 11 8 7 10 7
Best chance/winning 7 10 9 6 7 7 9 4 8 6
DK/NA 2 8 1 4 1 2 - 5 2 3
42. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Economy and jobs 34% 26% 38% 37% 38% 32% 34% 34%
Terrorism 10 3 9 13 9 10 8 10
Immigration 3 3 2 4 1 4 2 4
Federal deficit 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1
Health care 10 13 4 12 10 10 8 12
Foreign policy 14 17 13 13 11 15 19 10
Climate change 8 11 10 5 10 6 11 6
Race relations 6 6 8 5 6 6 3 8
Abortion 2 9 - - 1 3 2 2
Gun policy 4 4 9 1 2 5 7 2
Taxes 3 - 4 3 3 2 1 3
DK/NA 6 8 3 6 6 6 4 7
43. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Economy and jobs 27% 18% 23% 22% 28% 27% 29% 23% 32% 24%
Terrorism 30 31 33 30 32 28 24 37 27 31
Immigration 11 12 12 14 11 9 10 12 10 12
Federal deficit 8 11 10 6 10 9 11 4 9 7
Health care 4 1 2 1 4 6 3 4 4 4
Foreign policy 10 10 12 10 7 14 11 9 12 10
Climate change - - - - - - - - - -
Race relations - - - - - 1 1 - 1 -
Abortion 2 6 1 4 1 1 2 2 3 2
Gun policy 4 4 4 4 5 2 5 3 - 6
Taxes 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
DK/NA 3 6 3 7 - 3 3 4 1 4
44. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has held elected office before or someone who has never held elected office?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Held office 63% 45% 87% 60% 57% 69% 72% 59%
Never held office 27 45 8 28 34 21 17 32
DK/NA 10 11 5 13 9 10 10 9
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Held office 77% 61% 60% 59%
Never held office 14 32 30 29
DK/NA 9 6 10 12
45. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) As you may know, CNN held a debate among the Republican presidential candidates on Tuesday, December 15th. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debate; I did not watch or listen to the debate, but I paid close attention to news stories about it afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debate or pay close attention to news stories about it?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG
Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Watched/listened 45% 53% 47% 51% 43% 41% 50% 40% 48% 44%
Paid attn to news 37 36 32 36 37 37 36 37 37 37
Did not watch/listen
or pay close attn 18 11 21 13 20 21 13 23 15 19
DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 1 - - -
46. (If watched/listened to debate q45) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in Tuesday night’s debate: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Kasich, Paul, Rubio, or Trump?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..
WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45..
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Men Wom Yes No
Bush 5% 5% 4% 8% 3%
Carson 1 - 2 - 1
Christie 11 11 10 17 7
Cruz 40 42 37 36 42
Fiorina 3 3 4 5 3
Kasich - - 1 1 -
Paul 5 5 5 - 7
Rubio 12 11 14 16 10
Trump 20 21 18 13 24
DK/NA 3 2 5 3 3
47. (If watched/listened to debate q45) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the debate?
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..
WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45..
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Men Wom Yes No
Bush 25% 28% 20% 22% 26%
Carson 9 10 8 14 7
Christie 7 10 2 8 6
Cruz 1 2 1 - 2
Fiorina 8 9 5 3 10
Kasich 16 17 15 15 17
Paul 11 13 8 15 9
Rubio 2 2 3 3 2
Trump 10 6 16 11 10
DK/NA 11 3 23 8 12
48. Would you feel proud to have Donald Trump as President, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as President, or wouldn’t you feel either of these ways?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Proud 23% 44% 4% 20% 30% 16% 15% 26%
Embarrassed 50 20 82 47 40 59 62 45
Neither 24 32 12 29 26 22 21 25
DK/NA 3 4 2 4 4 3 2 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Proud 13% 25% 27% 22%
Embarrassed 73 48 45 43
Neither 12 25 26 28
DK/NA 2 3 2 7
49. Would you feel proud to have Hillary Clinton as President, embarrassed to have Hillary Clinton as President, or wouldn’t you feel either of these ways?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Proud 33% 5% 72% 22% 23% 42% 39% 30%
Embarrassed 35 72 5 32 44 28 31 38
Neither 29 21 23 41 31 27 29 29
DK/NA 3 2 1 5 2 3 1 3
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Proud 32% 34% 32% 39%
Embarrassed 26 36 41 35
Neither 42 30 24 19
DK/NA - 1 4 7
50. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling – the economy: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 43% 6% 85% 36% 32% 53% 51% 40%
Trump 53 92 13 57 63 44 46 56
DK/NA 4 2 2 7 5 3 3 4
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Clinton 59% 37% 40% 42%
Trump 37 59 56 52
DK/NA 3 3 3 6
51. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling – terrorism: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Clinton 48% 13% 88% 45% 39% 57% 59% 43%
Trump 45 83 11 45 55 37 36 50
DK/NA 6 4 1 10 6 6 5 7
AGE IN YRS..............
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Clinton 69% 46% 43% 45%
Trump 25 51 51 45
DK/NA 6 3 6 10
