Al-Qaeda’s Next Target: Germany

A new Al-Qaeda recording threatens the start of “jihad in Germany” should the electorate return Chancellor Angela Merkel to power next week. The spokesman in the video appeared again one day later in a second video discussing his personal devotion to Islam and death for Allah.

German authorities and most terrorism analysts are taking very seriously the mounting threats to Germany by the international terror organization.

In a video released into jihadist forums on Friday, an Al-Qaeda spokesman known as Abu Talha al-Almani (“the German”) warned that if Angela Merkel wins the German national elections on September 27 2009, the result will be “bitter” for the German people. They can expect a “rude awakening,” he said in a German-language recording. If Merkel is reelected, Abu Talha warned, Germans “have [signed] their own verdict.”

Addressing Muslims in Germany, the jihadist warns, “Stay away from anything vital for two weeks after the election” if the electorate refuses to take his warning seriously. However, he also personally guarantees that “the city of Kiel will remain safe irrespective of how long the conflict will last in Germany.”

“I am telling the youth of Islam in Germany: my dear brethren in Islam, should the jihad begin in Germany, let Al-Qaeda do its job first,” Abu Talha said. “If there should be any need later and we would have to move on to the next phase, we will tell you, inshallah (‘Allah willing’), what every one of you can do to participate in the jihad in Germany.”

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The Al-Qaeda jihadist places an additional condition on ending the organization’s conflict with Germany: “With the withdrawal of the last German soldier, the last mujahedin (‘jihad fighter’) will also be withdrawn from Germany.”

The Abu Talha release gives additional weight to an earlier jihadist communication this month that included an explicit threat of a 9/11-like attack in Germany. The communication declared that “everyone knows” that the “next strike is very near, a strike that will surprise everyone in its effect, which will be much more shocking than that of 9/11/2001.” At the time, analysts from the Institute of Terrorism Research and Response commented that the recent Al-Qaeda communications have been unusual in explicitly specifying the timing and type of an attack on Germany and German assets.

‘Turn Unto Your Lord Repentant and Surrender’
On Saturday, a second Al-Qaeda video featuring someone alleged to be Abu Talha as well discusses jihad, the issue of sin and the speaker’s love for Islam and martyrdom. The video, entitled “O Allah, I Love You (Part I)”, calls for repentance and describes the fate of infidels in the End of Days using extensive quotations from the Koran.

Among the texts referred to are the phrases, from Chapter 39 of the Koran (verses 54-55): “Turn unto your Lord repentant, and surrender unto Him, before there come unto you the doom, when ye cannot be helped. And follow the better (guidance) of that which is revealed unto you from your Lord, before the doom cometh on you suddenly when ye know not.” Later Koranic verses, 39:58, are cited in the same reading: “Or should say, when [you] seeth the doom: Oh, that I had but a second chance that I might be among the righteous! (But now the answer will be): Nay, for My revelations came unto thee, but thou didst deny them and wast scornful and wast among the disbelievers.”

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Germans Defiant or Unaware?
Current polls would seem to indicate that the German people are either unaware of or defiant against Al-Qaeda’s latest threats.

A public opinion survey by Forsa for Germany’s RTL Television released Tuesday showed that Angela Merkel’s parliamentary bloc (Christian Democratic Union, Christian Social Union, the Bavarian CSU, and the Social Democratic Part) and the Free Democrats Party (FDP) could form a leading coalition in next week’s elections.

No combination of major left-wing parties was able to garner enough support in the public opinion poll to indicate that a serious coalition challenge could be mounted.

In light of the increased jihadist chatter and activity focused on Germany and the coming elections, Berlin has raised the national terrorism alert level.



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